KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jul 1, 2027 42%Líder entre 3 opções
Before Jul 1, 2027 42%Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,8 mil €
Contratos em aberto
3,4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
16/09/26, 17:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A joint announcement includes contemporaneous official statements from both sides confirming the same agreement to begin formal negotiations. An equivalent status must be expressly presented by Canada and the EU as the institutional arrangement contemplated by the EU's Canadian associate-membership proposal. Proposals, invitations, exploratory discussions, and general statements of intent do not qualify. Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Canada and the European Union jointly announce that they have begun, or agreed to begin, formal negotiations toward a new formal association status, including associate membership, a unique alliance, or another equivalent new institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.