KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: 39.4 to 39.6 (95%)
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
39.4 to 39.6 86.4%+48.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
26,9 mil €
Liquidez
81,7 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado14/08/26, 15:2021/08/26, 14:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
38.8 to 39.028%
Below 38.84%
39.1 to 39.33%
39.4 to 39.695%
39.7 to 39.93%
86.4%
4.5%
2.7%
2.7%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Regras
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
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- Volume total
- € 160,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 845,4 mil
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,5 mi
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 50,3 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota 39.4 to 39.6 em 86% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026? é resolvido?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on August 21, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.