KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Above 4.77% (99%)
Resolvido: 21 de out. de 2026, 11:00
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 21 de out. de 2026, 09:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Above 4.83%1%
Above 4.68%0%
Above 4.69%0%
Above 4.70%0%
Above 4.71%0%
Above 4.72%0%
Above 4.73%0%
Above 4.74%0%
Above 4.75%0%
Above 4.76%0%
Above 4.77%99%
Above 4.78%96%
Above 4.79%0%
Above 4.80%0%
Above 4.81%1%
Above 4.82%0%
Above 4.84%0%
Above 4.77%Ganhou
Above 4.78%Perdeu
Above 4.80%Perdeu
Above 4.83%Perdeu
Above 4.81%Perdeu
Above 4.68%Perdeu
Above 4.69%Perdeu
Above 4.70%Perdeu
Above 4.71%Perdeu
Above 4.72%Perdeu
Above 4.73%Perdeu
Above 4.74%Perdeu
Above 4.75%Perdeu
Above 4.76%Perdeu
Above 4.79%Perdeu
Above 4.82%Perdeu
Above 4.84%Perdeu
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Regras
If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.77% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Pyth - 2Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 4.77%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.77% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.78%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.78% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.80%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.80% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.83%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.83% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.81%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.81% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.68%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.68% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.69%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.69% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.70%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.70% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.71%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.71% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.72%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.72% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.73%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.73% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.74%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.74% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.75%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.75% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.76%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.76% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.79%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.79% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.82%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.82% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.84%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 2-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.84% at Oct 21, 2026 at 6:00am ET, the market resolves to Yes.