KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above -20bps 96%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
94 €
Liquidez
2,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
8/07/26, 00:03 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegras
If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- Please note that intraday values are not included in this Underlying.
- Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 282,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,2 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 mais resultados
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,1 mil
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mil
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 mais resultados
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Above -20bps em 96% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 é resolvido?
- 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como 10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the daily 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity minus the 2-year Treasury Constant Maturity for December 31, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.