KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic party 55.3%Ajustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
51.0% / 56.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
15/05/26, 21:00 UTC1/02/29, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the the named outcome has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Library of Congress
- This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate.
- See full rules for details.
- Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2029.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2028 Senate winner?
- A Kalshi cota Democratic party em 55% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2028 Senate winner é resolvido?
- 2028 Senate winner deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como 2028 Senate winner é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the the named outcome has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.