Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivoDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 10 de set. de 2026, 09:50 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%Líder entre 34 opções
Qualidade do mercado
22 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
26/03/26, 20:47 UTC1/01/27, 00:01 UTC
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ForecastExRegras
Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No. If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If the named outcome leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
- the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.