GeminiDados verificados limitadosProbabilidade implícita atual
JD Vance 18.5%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
103,5 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
19/02/26, 18:2810/11/28, 0:00
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
JD Vance19%
Comparar plataformas· JD Vance
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · vinculado | Alta | 18% | -2pt | 375,5 mil € | 34,5 M € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Polymarket85% de correspondência · auto | Média | 20% | 0pt | 371,8 mil € | 44 M € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
| GeminiEsta página | Baixa | 19% | -1pt | 103,5 € | 0 € | há 15 minutos | |
 Futuur85% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 28% | +8pt | 0 € | 16 mil € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Myriad83% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 42% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets85% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 18% | -2pt | 233,3 € | 0 € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless91% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · vinculado | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | há 15 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
50%
50%
50%
+4 mais resultados
22 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total14,6 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
20%
-0.2pt12%
12%
+125 mais resultados
74 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total588,9 M €
Volume 24h371,8 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2a
-0.3pt17.5%
16.5%
+0.2pt15.2%
+42 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade1.008 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
17.5%
10.9%
10%
+37 mais resultados
27 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidez
Volume total284,7 mil €
Volume 24h233,3 €
SMARKETSTambém disponível em Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3m
28%
28%
26%
+2 mais resultados
42 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURTambém disponível em Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
5.7 pts2a
-0.1pt41.6%
-0.1pt19.8%
+0.2pt10.8%
+28 mais resultados
30 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADTambém disponível em Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.5 pts3a
17%
17%
11.3%
+27 mais resultados
89 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total48 M €
Volume 24h375,5 mil €
KALSHIRegras
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
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KALSHITucker Carlson — Nohá 3 dias$1.4k13.9%POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbithá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — YesBigRabbithá 3 dias$3.7k19.9%POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgateshá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — Yespizzabillgateshá 3 dias$1.8k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Briskethá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — NoGummy-Briskethá 3 dias$1.1k97.3%KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohá 5 dias
KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohá 5 dias$2.5k97.5%KALSHIAndy Beshear — Nohá 5 dias
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.