FutuurFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosEste mercado foi resolvido: Likud (96%)
Resolvido: 30 de out. de 2026, 13:33
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 23:27 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Likud96%
Yashar1%
Together2%
LikudGanhou
TogetherPerdeu
YasharPerdeu
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This event predicts which political party or coalition will win the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the October 27, 2026 legislative election.
- Each market below corresponds to one listed party; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- The Primary Designated Source is the official results published by Israel's Central Election Committee (Va'adat HaBehirot HaMerkazit), supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Tiebreaker rules: in the event of a tie for most seats, the market resolves in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes; if that produces a further tie, the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order wins.
- If Likud, Together, or Yashar (or any successor party created through a merger) merges with or contests the election jointly with any other party, the Likud, Together, or Yashar market represents the resultant candidate list.
- Otherwise, if a listed party merges with one or more unlisted parties, the listed party's market represents the merged list; if two listed parties merge, the market of the party with more prior Knesset seats represents the merged list, with alphabetical order as final tiebreaker.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Likud 99%
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Israel election: Which party will win the most seats? · Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) 98%