Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 69%
Sim 69%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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944,5 €
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Atualizado há 1 minuto
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PolymarketRegras
This event predicts whether Pedro Sánchez will remain in office as Prime Minister of Spain through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Spanish government announcements or records confirming the prime ministership.
- If Pedro Sánchez officially remains Prime Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he is formally replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official replacement, regardless of caretaker periods.
- If official records are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major Spanish or international news organizations.
