Maine's Senate election winner
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20266d
FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 58%
Democratic Party 58%Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
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KalshiRegras
This event concerns which political party will win the United States Senate election in the state of Maine, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- This event will resolve to the market corresponding to the party of the candidate who is officially elected to the U.S. Senate seat from Maine will resolve to "Yes".
- A candidate will be considered affiliated with a political party based on their official ballot-listed party designation.
- If no candidate wins a majority in the general election, this event will resolve based on the official winner according to the ranked-choice vote mandated by Maine law.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the official certified election results published by the Maine's Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be a clear and overwhelming consensus of major reputable news organizations reporting the same winner based on official data.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Maine Senate winner? · Troy Jackson 61%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Maine Senate Race · Democrat 58%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Maine Senate Election Winner · Troy Jackson (D) 63%