How many of the negotiating chapters required to join the EU will Montenegro have closed at the end of 2026?
EuropaOne-Off2mFutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Between 23 and 27 (inclusive) 38.4%Líder entre 5 opções
Between 23 and 27 (inclusive) 38.4%Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
13,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaTraders
11
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Montenegro join the EU (if ever)?
Manifold MarketsWill the Uk join the EU Single Market by the end of 2026 or negotiate an arrangement that mirrors the Single Market
Manifold MarketsWill the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Montenegro join the European Union?
Manifold MarketsWill the United Kingdom join the EU?
KalshiFrance declares state of emergency by which date?
PolymarketRegras
This event predicts the total number of European Union (EU) accession negotiating chapters that Montenegro will have provisionally closed by December 31, 2026 23:59:59 UTC.
- Montenegro's accession negotiations cover 33 chapters under the EU acquis.
- Each market below corresponds to one count range; exactly one will resolve "Yes".
- The Primary Designated Source is the European Commission's Directorate-General for Neighbourhood and Enlargement Negotiations (DG NEAR) — specifically the official Montenegro accession status page and the EU Council's reports on Montenegro's accession.
- Chapters that are temporarily closed, re-opened, or under interim benchmarks do not count as closed.
- Chapters 34 (Institutions) and 35 (Other Issues) do not count for the purposes of this event.