What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingUS Politics
PredictItBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistNiet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRetail prediction exchange
Huidige impliciete kans
Democrats 9-12% 45%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Methodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Vraagtype
-
24u volume
—
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Next UK General Election: how will the national vote be split?
Manifold Markets2028 popular vote margin of victory?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketTipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketSpeaker of the House after the midterms?
PolymarketRegels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the difference between the percentages of the total popular vote cast in favor of Republican and Democratic candidates for all 2026 U.S. Representative general elections.
The percentage of the popular vote won by each party shall be determined by dividing the number of votes the party wins by the total number of valid votes for all ballot-listed and write-in candidates, as first officially reported by the Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
The percentage of the popular vote won by each party shall be determined by dividing the number of votes the party wins by the total number of valid votes for all ballot-listed and write-in candidates, as first officially reported by the Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
- The difference between parties will be calculated from unrounded percentages.
- Should the result fall precisely on the threshold between two contracts, this market will resolve to the contract with the higher numerical range.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) · Democrats, 8 to 10% 24%
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 112,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,2 mln.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 184,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 891,3K
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 505,9K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 25,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 384,3K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 358,3K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms??
- PredictIt prijst Democrats 9-12% op 45% per 10 september 2026.
- Hoe wordt What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms? afgewikkeld?
- PredictIt wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the difference between the percentages of the total popular vote cast in favor of Republican and Democratic candidates for all 2026 U.S. Representative general elections.<br /><br />The percentage of the popular vote won by each party shall be determined by dividing the number of votes the party wins by the total number of valid votes for all ballot-listed and write-in candidates, as first officially reported by the Office of the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
- Waar wordt What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.