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Democratic by 9.0% or more 19.1%Koploper van 20 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
63 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 401,7
Liquiditeit
€ 33,4K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
20 mei 26, 18:00 UTC6 mei 29, 15:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
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Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:United States Congress
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.
Open markten
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 2028 popular vote margin of victory??
- Kalshi prijst Democratic by 9.0% or more op 19% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 2028 popular vote margin of victory? afgewikkeld?
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory? wordt naar verwachting op 6 mei 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 2028 popular vote margin of victory? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.