2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
0.1 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing1mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Democrats 8-10% 26.4%Koploper van 13 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 195,3K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.1 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
19 feb 26, 00:27 UTC3 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election.
- The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election.
- Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket prijst Democrats 8-10% op 26% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory afgewikkeld?
- 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.