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  3. 2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

1.0% (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezingUS Politics1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Republicans win
Republicans win 15%-1.0%
Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

60 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 162

Liquiditeit

€ 3K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Gematigde spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

4 feb 26, 15:003 nov 27, 13:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Republicans win15%

PolymarketOok beschikbaar op Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4mnd
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 extra uitkomsten

89 • Hoge kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 53,1K
24u volume€ 9K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regels

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.