2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolitiekVerkiezingUS Politics1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansDemocrats, 8 to 10% 21.4%-1.0ptKoploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
78 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 5,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 430,7K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden
4 feb 26, 15:003 nov 27, 13:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Democrats, 6 to 8%22%
Platforms vergelijken· Democrats, 8 to 10%
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 24% | — | € 5,7K | € 430,7K | 24 minuten geleden | |
 PredictIt87% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 25% | — | — | — | 24 minuten geleden | Openen → |
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What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms?
8mnd
25%
25%
0%
+5 extra uitkomsten
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegels
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$3.4k98.2%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 dgn geleden$2.0k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 dgn geleden$1.2k98.5%KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 dgn geleden
KALSHIDemocrats, 0 to 2% — No8 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$6.5k2 jul26d aan data27 jul
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.