PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
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December 31 100%+2.8ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
41 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,3K
Liquiditeit
—
Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+51.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 48 dagen geleden
Verouderd10 mrt 26, 3:1931 mei 26, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
December 31100%
May 310%
March 310%
April 300%
September 30100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Maliivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, (47.920810° N, 36.618600° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.