Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 52.5%-1.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
31 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 22,9
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
21.0% / 74.0%
Spread
53.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
19 aug 26, 16:44 UTC1 jul 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves to "Yes" if Climate Central's U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters report for calendar year 2026 counts more than 28 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disaster events.
- The standing record is 28 events, set in 2023.
- A count of 28 or fewer resolves this market to "No".
- The controlling figure is the number of billion-dollar events attributed to calendar year 2026 in Climate Central's report (https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-services/billion-dollar-disasters), using Climate Central's standard cost-estimation and inflation-adjustment methodology; Climate Central now stewards this NOAA/NCEI dataset under the same methodology and original lead scientist.
- Whether an event qualifies, and how events are delineated and counted, follow Climate Central's published enumeration.
- Preliminary or year-to-date counts released during 2026 do not determine resolution; only the count attributed to the full 2026 calendar year controls.