PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 85%+2.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
61 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 408,1
Liquiditeit
€ 16K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
59.0% / 61.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 minuten geleden
8 sep 26, 02:40 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
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KalshiRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Open markten
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 335,1K
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.7pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.2pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 19,9 mln.
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-5.5pt75%
- Yes+5.5pt25%
- Totaal volume
- € 345,5K
- 24u volume
- € 45,3K
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
- Decrease27.7%
- Increase-0.1pt3%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 516,7K
- 24u volume
- € 43K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 85% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Preobrazhenka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.574595° N, 35.812497° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).