Huidige impliciete kans
#10 97%-0.5%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
91 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 627,7
Liquiditeit
€ 36K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
95.9% / 97.1%
Spread
1.3%
Strakke spread7d wijziging
-2.2%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
2 apr 26, 21:5731 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
#1097%
Platforms vergelijken· #10
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 97% | — | € 627,7 | € 36K | 8 minuten geleden | |
 Kalshi82% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Hoog | 83% | — | € 278,8 | € 33,6K | 28 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
2.0%5mnd
83%
-2.0%17%
80 • Hoge kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 98,6K
24u volume€ 278,8
KALSHIRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$7143 jul24d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.