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  3. Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

2.0% (24u)AITechYearly6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 6%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,9K

Liquiditeit

€ 9,8K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

5.0% / 6.0%

Spread

20.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-6.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

2 apr 26, 22:0431 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes6%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
  • Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
  • Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
  • This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
  • Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
  • Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
  • This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.