Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 70.7%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 23 minuten geleden
2 jan 26, 07:42 UTC9 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a company surpass Google in terms of search marketshare?
Manifold MarketsWill another US ridesharing company surpass Lyft before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
