Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
9.5 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing1j
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
J.D. Vance 30.3%-9.5ptKoploper van 10 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
60 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 119,4
Liquiditeit
€ 57,2K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+24.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 27 minuten geleden
21 jul 26, 23:00 UTC1 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?
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PredictItWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRegels
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise.
- An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
- The listed individuals are: the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome Jr., the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, and the named outcome.
- An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority.
- A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".