KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 75%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 465,6
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
22.0% / 25.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
23 sep 25, 14:00 UTC1 mrt 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiWill Jon Ossoff announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Stephen A. Smith announce a run for president before 2028?
PredictItWill Rubio and Vance both announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028??
- Kalshi prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.