Which countries will Trump accuse of election interference by July 16?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingRussia / UkraineChina2d
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Iran 56%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 12,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 100K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
9.0% / 10.0%
Spread
11.1%
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
14 jul 26, 2:3516 jul 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Iran56%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns.
- Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
- The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity.
- The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").