PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Hike 82%
Marktkwaliteit
54 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 19,4
Liquiditeit
€ 2,4K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
14 jul 26, 16:22 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
PolymarketFed rate decision in September 2026
Robinhood (Rothera)How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate cut before 2027?
KalshiNext Fed rate hike?
KalshiRegels
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
- Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
Open markten
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 35 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be the next Fed rate change??
- Polymarket prijst Hike op 82% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be the next Fed rate change? afgewikkeld?
- What will be the next Fed rate change? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be the next Fed rate change? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.