PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenHuidige impliciete kansJa 7%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 29,7K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Brede spread7d wijziging
-2.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
19 jun 26, 1:0431 aug 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes7%
Gerelateerde Markten
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
€ 20,7KDecember 31: 41%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Russia military clash by...?
€ 11,2KDecember 31,: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
€ 10,4KDecember 31: 27%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
€ 943,7Before 2025-01-01: 0%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be widespread fuel shortages in Moscow city before 1 December 2026?
€ 687,1Ja: 74.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
€ 502,2Ja: 15.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Mass drone strikes lift Polymarket odds of Ukraine retaking Crimea to 12%Blockchain.News
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Iran closes Hormuz again as talks restart, Polymarket Yes dips to 39.5%Blockchain.NewsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
- Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
- The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative.
- Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.