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  2. US Politics
  3. Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

7.0% (24u)One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitiekMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
July 31
July 31 54%-5.0%
Koploper van 17 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

89 / 100

Hoge kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 307K

Liquiditeit

€ 209K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

31.0% / 32.0%

Spread

3.2%

Gematigde spread
7d wijziging

-23.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

12 apr 26, 20:4730 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
May 31
May 31
0%
April 17
April 17
0%
April 12
April 12
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

July 3154%

Regels

On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
  • Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.

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Regels

On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz.

Polymarket
  • You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
  • Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.