PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen actuele koersen
Gegevens van 25 jul 2026, 00:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige impliciete kans2028 25%-1.0%
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 2,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
5.0% / 14.0%
Spread
180.0%
Brede spread7d wijziging
+0.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
10 jun 26, 2:311 jan 29, 4:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
202825%
Volumetrend
$105 jul2d aan data6 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated.
- A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
- A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
- The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.