Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 21:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
1480+ 82%+17.5ptKoploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 14K
Liquiditeit
€ 3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd31 aug 26, 20:1431 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
