KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenHuidige impliciete kansBefore 2027 60%-1.0%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
80 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 22,6K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
59.0% / 63.0%
Spread
6.8%
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
25 jun 26, 19:001 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Before 202760%
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date
1mnd
0%
0%
0%
+22 extra uitkomsten
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling151 voorspellersType: multiple choice
Totaal volume€ 40K
24u volume€ 446,7
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Gerelateerde Markten
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
€ 12,2KBefore Jul 7, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of July?
€ 318,5KAnthropic: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI this week
€ 79,7KChatGPT: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
GPT-5.6 released by...?
€ 70,5KJuly 31: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
€ 44,3K↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top AI model this week
€ 21,9Kclaude-fable-5: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsRegels
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.