PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
October 31 88%+0.5ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
69 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 20,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 20,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Strakke spreadComments
16
7d wijziging
-8.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
1 aug 26, 21:5231 okt 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
Regels
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 201K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,8 mln.
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 864,5K
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 30,2K
- 24u volume
- € 28,5K
- Best AI this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- XRP price on August 31
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- New York Y vs Baltimore
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Polymarket prijst October 31 op 88% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.