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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. AI
  3. New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

1.6% (24u)AIOne-Off17d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
June 30
June 30 92%+0.4%
Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,8K

Liquiditeit

€ 14,6K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

0.3% / 3.9%

Spread

1200.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-13.9%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

30 apr 26, 0:1430 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
May 31
May 31
0%
May 8
May 8
0%
May 22
May 22
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

June 3092%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.