PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 96%+0.6pt
Marktkwaliteit
77 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 39,1K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
3.3% / 4.5%
Spread
1.2 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-1.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
5 nov 25, 19:43 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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FutuurRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Iran that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Iran may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Iran.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Iran.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 107,6K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 104,5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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- Netanyahu out by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Iran nuclear test before 2027??
- Polymarket prijst No op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Iran nuclear test before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Iran nuclear test before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Iran nuclear test before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a nuclear test by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.