PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
October 31 94%+0.8pt
Marktkwaliteit
60 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 9,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
84.0% / 87.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
9 sep 26, 21:24 UTC31 okt 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis target Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, directed at Saudi Arabia.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 11,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 355,4K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 292,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Houthis target Saudi Arabia by which date??
- Polymarket prijst October 31 op 94% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Houthis target Saudi Arabia by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Houthis target Saudi Arabia by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 31 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Houthis target Saudi Arabia by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis target Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).