Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 52%
Marktkwaliteit
32 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 78,8
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
20.0% / 76.0%
Spread
56.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
15 sep 26, 00:04 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two frontier AI labs announce a pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Frontier AI labs refers to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, and Meta.
- A pacing agreement means an agreement under which the parties commit to at least one of the following: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Agreements announced before market creation will not qualify.
- The labs party to the agreement must each announce it, either jointly or separately, through their official channels or through an authorized representative acting in an official capacity.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 70,3K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,4K
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,9K
- 24u volume
- € 21,9K
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst No op 52% per 15 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two frontier AI labs announce a pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.