PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
CDU 75.3%+6.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
37 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 12,7
Liquiditeit
€ 1,7K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
67.0% / 84.0%
Spread
17.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
-2.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
20 aug 26, 18:17 UTC20 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsIf Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne??
- Polymarket prijst CDU op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? afgewikkeld?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? wordt naar verwachting op 20 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.