Will Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingEurope2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 22 jul 2026, 10:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingYes, full recount 6.6%-5.3%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 dagen geleden
Verouderd11 feb 26, 11:0924 mrt 29, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes, full recount7%
Volumetrend
$59721 jul2d aan data22 jul
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Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.
- What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?
- If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No".
- The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount.
- (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)
- See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are