PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Grüne 42.2%Koploper van 8 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,3
Liquiditeit
€ 33,7K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
8.0 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+2.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
20 aug 26, 18:14 UTC20 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
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PolymarketSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiRegels
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 606,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 721K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 411,2K
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- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- Polymarket prijst Grüne op 42% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Berlin State Election: 4th Place afgewikkeld?
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place wordt naar verwachting op 20 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Berlin State Election: 4th Place afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Waar wordt Berlin State Election: 4th Place nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.