KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Grüne 36.6%-6.0ptKoploper van 7 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
46 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,5
Liquiditeit
€ 13,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
24 aug 26, 21:00 UTC20 sep 27, 16:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiBrazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)
KalshiBrazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)
KalshiSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketRegels
If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- The party awarded the 4th-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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+49 extra uitkomsten
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+38 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Berlin State Election: 4th Place?
- Kalshi prijst Grüne op 37% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Berlin State Election: 4th Place afgewikkeld?
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place wordt naar verwachting op 20 september 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Berlin State Election: 4th Place afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If CDU finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Berlin State Election: 4th Place nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.