PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
4.2% 30.6%-0.5ptKoploper van 9 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
61 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 648,4
Liquiditeit
€ 9,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadComments
0
7d wijziging
+3.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
7 aug 26, 17:104 sep 26, 8:30
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
CoinRithm-referentie 4.2% 33% · 2 platforms · band van 0 pt
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.2% 26%
- Ook beschikbaar op ForecastEx — Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026? · No 97%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — August Unemployment Rate · 4.2% 29%
- Ook beschikbaar op Futuur — US unemployment rate — August 2026 · Above 3.7% 95%
Open markten
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Totaal volume
- € 196,5K
- 24u volume
- € 17K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 106,4K
- 24u volume
- € 13,5K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 9,9K
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9K
- 24u volume
- € 6,5K
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 229,7K
- 24u volume
- € 5,5K
POLYMARKETJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
- 0.0%–0.8%+19.5pt25%
- 0.8%–1.6%+18.5pt21%
- -0.8%–0.0%+2.0pt18.6%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor August Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket prijst 4.2% op 31% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt August Unemployment Rate afgewikkeld?
- August Unemployment Rate wordt naar verwachting op 4 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt August Unemployment Rate afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- Waar wordt August Unemployment Rate nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi, ForecastEx, Limitless, Futuur.