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Huidige impliciete kans
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Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd22 apr 25, 11:111 jun 25, 3:59
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Macrogevoelige Assets
Regels
Recent tensions between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have reached a critical point, with Trump publicly criticizing Powell's monetary policy decisions and openly considering his removal.
- Will Powell resign or be removed from his position as Fed Chair by end of May?
- **Market dates**
- - **Market Closing:** May 31, 2025, 11:59pm EDT - **Resolution Time:** June 1, 2025, 11:59pm EDT or sooner as the outcome is determined.
- **Yes/No Criteria**
- - The market resolves to "Yes" if Powell is removed from his position, resigns, or steps down from his role as Fed Chair before market closes. - Any form of departure from the role of Fed Chair (including firing, resignation, or stepping down) will result in a "Yes" resolution, regardless of the reason. - An official announcement during the market period confirming Powell’s departure will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, even if the departure takes effect after the market closes. - The market resolves to “No” if Powell remains Fed Chair through the end of the market period, or if no announcement or decision is made that can lead to his removal.
Open markten
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+3.0pt66.7%
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 45 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,4 mln.
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate65.3%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt31.7%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt86%
- 1 (25 bps)10%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.2pt3%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 481,9K
- 24u volume
- € 40,7K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+12.9pt49%
- SpaceX-25.0pt40%
- OpenAI-0.2pt1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt66.2%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt27.7%
- Cut 25bps3.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 164,8K
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Powell leave the Fed Chair before June??
- Myriad prijst No op 100% per 25 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Powell leave the Fed Chair before June? afgewikkeld?
- Will Powell leave the Fed Chair before June? wordt naar verwachting op 1 juni 2025 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Powell leave the Fed Chair before June? afgewikkeld?
- Myriad wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Recent tensions between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have reached a critical point, with Trump publicly criticizing Powell's monetary policy decisions and openly considering his removal.