Will William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Misdaad en justitieOne-Off3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.1%
Voorspellers
28
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jan 23, 03:33 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Toby Ord (existential risk philosopher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill William MacAskill ever win the Nobel Peace Prize?
Manifold MarketsWill Geoff Anders (Director at Leverage Research) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRegels
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that William MacAskill (philosopher and activist) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.