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Play-money forecasting platform
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Vertraagd9 dec 25, 05:22 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
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Federal employees at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many government employees will Trump cut?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
KalshiRegels
2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.
- Will 2026 bring similar results?
- I will subtract the January 2026 reading of federal employee count from the January 2027 reading using the FRED federal employee counts given here:
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001
- If the difference exceeds 100,000 the answer resolves yes, and no otherwise.