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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsChina7mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 0%
Marktkwaliteit

24 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 0

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

79.0% / 86.0%

Spread

8.9%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden

3 jun 26, 23:304 feb 27, 13:29

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
Ja
Ja
0%
Nee
Nee
100%

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes0%

Regels

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.