Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2,500,000 - 2,600,000 29.8%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd17 dec 25, 18:10 UTC31 dec 26, 18:04 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will half of the S&P 500 enforce wide adoption of AI tools by employees by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill there be a unicorn with no human employees by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
