Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
PolitiekGeopolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezingEurope1mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.4%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd19 jan 26, 21:56 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsNext High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PolymarketWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of:
- • Associated Press
- • New York Times
- • Washington Examiner
- • Wall Street Journal
- • New York Post
Open markten
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 710,8K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 584,6K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 407,5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 94% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? wordt naar verwachting op 2 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of: