Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
HandelsbeleidOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekGeopolitiekEuropaPolitiekBedrijfsactiesVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 58.6%
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23
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd18 jan 26, 00:23 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump publicly states that Iceland should be a part of the USA before January 1, 2029.
- This includes statements made in speeches, press conferences, social media posts, interviews, or official communications.
- The statement must explicitly indicate that Iceland should become part of the United States (e.g., "Iceland should be a U.S. state," "we should acquire Iceland," or similar language).
- Trump's nominee for ambassador to Iceland joked with lawmakers that Iceland will become the 52nd U.S. state, signaling the administration's broader interest in Arctic territories.
- Iceland is situated along the GIUK Gap, a strategic chokepoint for surveillance in the Arctic region whose name references the first letters of Greenland, Iceland, and the United Kingdom.
