Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?
Trade PolicyOne-OffVerkiezingGeopolitiekLatin AmericaUS PoliticsPolitiek2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 77.5%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd16 jun 26, 15:00 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, the United States under the presidential administration of Donald Trump officially annexes any portion of Brazilian territory or conducts unauthorized military action against or within Brazil.
- Specifically:
- Annexation is defined as the United States officially claiming sovereignty, annexing, or establishing a formal protectorate over any portion of Brazil's internationally recognized territory, codified by a U.S. executive order, presidential proclamation, federal law, or treaty signed by Donald Trump.
- Military Action is defined as a kinetic military operation (including but not limited to airstrikes, drone strikes, missile launches, naval blockades, or ground troop incursions) conducted by the United States Armed Forces within Brazil’s internationally recognized land borders, territorial waters, or airspace.
- To qualify, the military action must be directed against targets (including state forces, infrastructure, or local non-state actors/gangs) without the explicit consent or written invitation of the internationally recognized federal government of Brazil.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 78% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria