U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?
HandelsbeleidOne-OffGeopolitiekLatijns-Amerika1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.1%
Voorspellers
41
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd9 jun 26, 14:33 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsRussia military action against EU country by which date?
PolymarketWill The Pokémon Company pursue legal action against DHS/the US govt for the DHS Pokemon video before Dec 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be significant legal action against embryo selection in the US by 2028?
Manifold MarketsMilitary action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?
PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Here is a revised draft that eliminates the potential ambiguities regarding international waters, proxy forces, and other U.S. agencies, while keeping the core conditions of your original market intact.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC, the United States military or the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) conducts a deliberate kinetic action against the sovereign territory, airspace, or territorial waters of Brazil, or against Brazilian state/military assets operating in international domains.
- "Kinetic action" is defined as the active, deliberate use of lethal or physically destructive force.
- Examples include airstrikes, drone strikes, missile strikes, naval bombardments, or ground combat engagements.
- Covert & Proxy Actions: The action must be carried out directly by U.S. military personnel, CIA operatives, or private military companies (PMCs) actively contracted and directed by these entities.
