KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is gesloten en wacht op bevestigde afwikkeling.
Wacht op geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm wacht op door de provider bevestigde afwikkeling voordat deze markt als beslist wordt behandeld.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 30 okt 2026, 03:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%Marktkwaliteit
21 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
US$ 4K
Gemiddelde open interestMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd8 sep 26, 22:00 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Before Jan 1, 202718%
Before Dec 1, 20268%
Before Nov 1, 20265%
Before Oct 1, 2026Verloren
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
KalshiWill a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada raise its 2027 international-student arrivals target above 150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Bank of Canada raise the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketRegels
De exacte regel voor deze uitkomst is niet beschikbaar.
Afwikkeling via:Prime Minister of Canada
- Only reporting from the Prime Minister of Canada qualifies for the purposes of this market. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The publication must expressly commit Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods. It must be an official speech, statement, or press release issued personally or in the prime minister's name. A specified future effective date qualifies. Minister- or agency-only announcements, negotiating objectives, noncommittal statements of intent that do not expressly commit Canada, general aspirations, preliminary discussions, threats, conditional proposals, and the automatic activation or expiry of a previously announced measure do NOT qualify. A new decision to reimpose a previously removed tariff or increase an existing tariff qualifies. Reports merely referencing publications before Issuance do NOT qualify unless they explicitly reaffirm a qualifying new decision made after Issuance.
Regels per uitkomst
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.