Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.8%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
13 okt 26, 04:48 UTC31 okt 26, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 13, 2026?
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KalshiRegels
This market will be resolved as YES only if an earthquake strong enough to be covered as major news outside Japan occurs between October 13 and October 31, 2026, Japan time.
- This applies to the 23 wards of the former Tokyo city and not the minor cities, towns, and outlying islands governed by the Tokyo Metropolitan prefecture.
- Judgment will be based on a mention in news coverage of an earthquake taking place in "central Tokyo" or mentioning as taking place specifically in one or more of the 23 wards, in an article posted to CNN's international edition website (edition.cnn.com).